The huge opportunities open to ebike retailers

November 30, 2010 · View Comments

You probably already know there are 5 distribution channels of bicycles across the country – independent bike dealers (IBDs), mass merchants, sporting goods stores, outdoor specialty stores and others. With reference to IBDs, their bike unit sales make up just 18% of the overall total but in revenue terms, they amount to 50% of the market’s total value.

Nevertheless, IBDs today have to contend with stiff competition from mass merchants and where they use to make money in terms of services, they have been squeezed as a result of today’s well-made and sturdy bicycles.

Independent bike dealer or Specialty bike shop

In general, a 4,000 sq ft IBD store which sells 650 regular bicycle units per year at an average $500 apiece can expect to make $649,000 in revenue — split between bike sales (47.4%); parts and accessories (35.5%); repairs (10.7%) and other miscellaneous.

Suppose this same store sells ebikes and conversion kits instead, priced around $400 – $7,000. If we multiply the 650 units they might sell at the lower end of say $1,000 per unit, they would have already made the total revenue of those who only sell regular bicycles, and still with the remaining over 50% revenue stream yet to be factored in. Does that get your undivided attention as it did ours?

The eBike is too sweet a deal to pass for consumers, retailers and suppliers alike

Electric bike or ebikeThe federal legislation on ebikes includes, among others, that they are within the specified 750W power range and travel below 20 mph, whereby they are then considered bicycles. As such, it comes under the jurisdiction of the Consumer Products Safety Commission (CPSC) and has access to both roadways, bicycle lanes and certain trails. It’s users are also not required to apply for licenses, registration or insurance to use the vehicle.

They cost a lot less — to buy, run and maintain than cars — and have minimal impact on the roads and the environment. They have a low learning curve; are easy to operate; and give confidence to the ‘challenged but interested’ bicyclists who are less adept at riding with traffic and handling gradients, headwinds or carrying cargo.

While bicycles are well-known as utility contraptions in Asia, its empowered sibling, the ebike is even more befitting in that role. Its streamlined, more subtle, and varied options means there are lots of choices for the consumers, plus huge business potential for retailers and suppliers alike, which bodes well for our economy as it translates into jobs right down to the local level.

The ebike market performances thus far

You may well say that’s all well and nice but how has the industry really panned out so far. First of all, let’s take a look at the market nearest us, Europe, specifically: the Netherlands, in 2009, sold 153,000 units or about 1 in every 8 bicycles sold was a pedelec (a pedal assist ebike), which was priced at 3 times the standard versions; the ratio splits for Germany and Switzerland were also not far behind.

Dutch biking in Utrecht

We have not been too big on following European trends in the past, and our bike commuting culture and infrastructure are still at the teething stages but yet, the impact of ebike sales in the States for 2009 was 200,000 a 1% market share of the on average 18 million units sold yearly.

Yet, as bicycling becomes more mainstream, it has to offer options beyond those that interest the mainly male, under 40 year olds, sports-inclined target audience. The average American is not into exercise and competing, they want economical, practical and convenient transport, something that gets the job done, be it to get to work, pick up the kids or groceries or for the weekend family outings. The average American are women, the less interested in owning cars Generation Y’s and their baby boomer parents who together make up a hefty segment of the potential biking population.

The current economic, cultural and social environments are ripe for change

Last but in no way least, our current economy, cultural and social environments are at a crossroads and are ready and in need of change. Every dollar counts, so does the quality of our lives and environment. As it turns out, it can be quite affordable if we focus on the transitions that benefit society as whole such as Bike Friendly cities and “Complete Streets” with walkable and bikable infrastructure which are welcomed and mushrooming all over the country.

Guess what?

It so happens ebikes, which fit right in, also makes dollars and sense.  It is good for our pockets, health, community and economy. Think of it as our own stimulus package, one that can boost our micro- and macro- economies in its multi-tasking roles as transporter, exerciser, community-builder cum air-cleaner all rolled into this one modest tool. This is indeed a golden opportunity provided we get it done — right and right now.

Photo credit Ed Yourdon, Richard Masoner and fietsberaad via flickr and courtesy Creative Commons 2.0

  • Fail

    There is some pretty faulty logic going on here, particularly in the retailer section. You imply that a retailer who sells $500 bikes on average would be able to sell the same number of $1000 e-bikes. You later note that even in bike-friendly areas of the world, the highest rates of e-bike usage is 1/8. It would be a stretch to say that a retailer could double their profits by switching to a product that is twice the cost and has an eighth of the demand.

  • Thank you for your comments, Fail.

    Obviously, any discerning businessperson would do the market study and if the current potential stands at 1/8, obviously it would not make sense to abandon selling conventional bicycles and switch to just selling e-bikes.

    Having said that,

    1) in the Netherlands that 1/8 demand (or 0.125%) accounts for 37.6% of turnover and these vehicles only started to make their market presence felt in 2009. (http://www.bike-eu.com/news/46...

    2) the current European legislation for e-bikes and pedelecs are being deliberated and for now, allow for speeds of up to 15 mph with a 250W motor (to be considered a bicycle) while the US federal regulation allows up to 20 mph and a 750W motor.

    3) although the US does not currently have the deep-rooted biking policies, backing and infrastructure of major bike-friendly European cities, it has been catching up fast e.g. 200 communities have committed to the “Complete Streets” initiative; bike lanes and bike sharing schemes are mushrooming in many cities. The mindsets are shifting.

    4) the bulk of our country’s bike industry has been dominated by the hobbyists (mainly male 30 to 40 age group) which make up about only 8% of the population. E-bikes, on the other hand, have untapped new market groups – utility bikers who are females, baby boomers and generation Y groups -- which constitute over 50% of our population.

    Top biking city Portland’s 2009 bike modal share was 5.8% while Amsterdam stands at 55% in the city center.

    The potential is there and big players from manufacturers to retailers like Sanyo, Bosch, Best Buy already recognize it. The bicycle industry sales figures this last decade have not shifted much, averaging 18 million units. The ebike is a game-changer with new, bigger market segments, who will extend the bicycle’s functionality beyond that of a weekend ride and that fits in with their lifestyle choices. Plus, don't forget there's the servicing and maintenance as required by any transport vehicle.

    Naturally, it takes time, commitment and investment for these major changes to go mainstream.

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